The race to avoid relegation is possibly the tightest ever in Premier League history. The bottom 11 teams are separated by 11 points. 9th placed Bournemouth are just 7 points off the drop zone, while bottom place West Brom are just 7 points adrift of Watford, in 12th. So with only 12 matches to play, none of the bottom half are safe.
There are 5 teams that look as if a relegation fight is a probability. There may be more in the fight at the end of the season, but these are the teams I think could struggle the most.
West Bromwich Albion
Relegation is looking certain for the Baggies after a solid start to the season. They now sit 4 points off 19th place and are struggling to find form. With only 3 wins this season The side at the bottom look as if they cannot comeback and I think survival will be very difficult. However, Swansea were in the same place weeks ago and look where they are now!
Another side that started well at the beginning of the season is Huddersfield. But now, after 4 straight defeats, they sit 19th with the League’s lowest goal difference. They are also the joint lowest scorers in the league having only scored 19 goals this season. They are currently averaging 0.7 goals per game and have no real target man up front. Something has to change quickly otherwise hopes of their Premier League dream continuing will gradually fade away. It was always going to be tough for David Wagner’s side.
Despite only 1 loss in their last 6 games, the welsh side are still in the thick of it. They are only out of the zone on goal difference. If their form continues, they could end up as high as 9th. On the other hand, a drop in form now would put them in real danger. This Swans Side looks formidable but in an unpredictable season like this one, their safety won’t be secured without a sustained effort.
Surprisingly, Newcastle are another I fear will struggle. This is purely based on their inconsistency. I don’t see them getting a good string of form in the coming weeks and their transfer business was not the best. Also, their bench options are lacking. Under Rafa they were probably one of the favourites to survive, but it hasn’t look to be going that way. They need consistency or else relegation is a huge threat.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Lastly, newly promoted Seagulls. It is no surprise that I have all 3 of the newly promoted teams in the race. The Premier League is getting tougher and tougher. As a newly promoted side, business in the transfer window has to be useful. Unfortunately it hasn’t been good enough. Blame could be placed on the increase in valuation on players. Financially, of these 3 teams, Newcastle are probably the only side who can keep up. The Seagulls have not improved enough in my opinion and I believe that Brighton will gradually drop and drop, eventually ending up getting relegated.